According to the February 2007 S&P/Case-Shiller index (pdf), single-family home prices in the San Francisco MSA dropped 0.5% from January ’07 to February ’07 and slipped 2.2% year-over-year. For the broader 10-City composite (CSXR), year-over-year price growth is down 1.5% (a near 15 year low).
And once again, by most accounts our local economy remains strong, employment and wages are up, and the cost of borrowing remains near historic lows. This is in marked contrast to our last real estate decline (2001-2002) which directly coincided with a local economic meltdown (a.k.a. The Internet Bubble).
As previously noted: The S&P/Case-Shiller index only tracks single-family homes (not condominiums which represent half the transactions in San Francisco), is imperfect in factoring out changes in property values due to improvements versus actual market appreciation (although they try their best), and includes San Francisco, San Mateo, Marin, Contra Costa, and Alameda in the “San Francisco” index (i.e., the greater MSA).
∙ Persistent Declining Returns (pdf) [Standard & Poor’s]
∙ January S&P/Case-Shiller Index Down For San Francisco MSA [SocketSite]